Showing posts with label Government. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Government. Show all posts

Monday, 23 February 2015

Having more than one person involved in decision-making can really help

I am firmly of the belief that reading expands the mind, and I generally get something out if every book I read. I've just finished a short book on the Cuban Missile Crisis. It's called Thirteen Days and was written by Robert F. Kennedy. The book itself is quite factual and it isn't until I reached the conclusions after the crisis wax over that I thought of practical applications towards business. In the chapter "Some of the things we learned..." Robert Kennedy stated that he felt it of significant importance during the crisis that there were different points of view throughout the process. The group of people that sat together to deliberate and report back to the President (the ex comm group) had people from different backgrounds and had different ideas on how to handle the crisis. Robert Kennedy believes that from this group, the right decisions and course of action was achieved because "opinion, even fact, can be best judged by conflict, by debate." He even goes so far as to say that this lack of conflict was part of the failure of an earlier Kennedy administration operation in Cuba - the Bay of Pigs invasion.

In terms of the way this can bring about lessons for business for me, is as far as business decisions are made. Too often one part if the business makes decisions that affect other parts of the business without consulting them. Taking the time to have different viewpoints and for this to provide the opportunity for the decision to be debated can only be healthy. I liken this to the coalition government we have had in this country for nearly the last five years. Although we don't 100% what has happened behind the closed doors of government, it appears from the outside that each party have had to agree on policy. In many cases this has resulted in policy being adapted to keep both parties happy - and for the common good of the country.

The book also reminds me of another book I read fairly recently, called Why Your Boss Is Programmed to Be a Dictator: A Book for Anyone Who Has a Boss or Is a Boss by Chetan Dhruve. It's well worth a read and in one chapter he tells about the mistakes made in the run up to the invasion of Iraq because the military's advisers told their boss (President George W. Bush) what they thought he wanted to hear. More debate would probably have resulted in a different course of action and many fewer lives lost.

One of the best estate agency branch managers I have worked alongside used a collaborative process for certain parts of the business. Everyone ones he was the boss, there was no dilution there, but in certain areas there was a discussion and a decision was based on agreement. One such area was the start of day huddle and particularly when looking at the market appraisals for the day. We would look at each property in turn with the lister and have a discussion over the marketing price. This had the effect that all the team knew about the pending properties, had a buy in with the process and a price was sometimes agreed that the lister perhaps hadn't first envisaged. Having a second, third, etc pair of eyes to run over the situation can enable a healthy discussion and come to a considered decision. This is something that Robert Kennedy refers to directly in his book. Try looking at involving all of your team and perhaps some of your customers in your decisions.

Friday, 13 June 2014

Housing demand measures in London may win the next election

George Osborne announced yesterday that the Bank of England will be given new powers to cap home loans.  In his Mansion House speech he states that one proposal is that lending is to follow strict loan-to-income ratios. Surely all banks have these in place as part of their affordability calculations - the long-standing income multiples?  I'm not sure what steps the Chancellor wants banks to go through when their affordability calculations are already subject to FCA scrutiny.

The BBC suggest that this won't be the first tool used to cool the market

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27829744

Unfortunately, it seems that this government and the Bank of England have let house prices in London and the South East start to get out of hand and are now proposing the whole mortgage msrket suffers while they look for the cure. The cure, by the way, is to build hundreds of thousands of new homes every year.  I've said this several times before in this blog, but this is a long-term answer.

The short-term answer is to look at demand, whereas supply can only be dealt with over the longer term.

Housing demand can be cooled by threats and warnings, but these will create a quickening of the bubble as people decide to act quickly before prices rise even higher and before regulations make buying more difficult.  A gentler cooling of demand in certain parts  of the country, coupled with a more drastic drop in demand in London will be the most desirable outcome.

The only wag to achieve this is to treat London as a separate market - change regulations and restrictions there (say within the M25) to create an immediate slowdown in prices.  Changes to achieve this could include-

Higher stamp duty rates
Enforced lower income multiples
Higher Capital Gains Tax
Regulations to stop properties being turned around quickly
Regulated rents to ensure 'Generation Rent' can afford to live in London
Restrictions on overseas buyers

Some of these measures as a direct strategy to deal with the runaway house prices in London and the South East may just save this government in next year's election.